A likely absolute majority for President Bassirou Diomaye Faye's Pastef party in Senegal's legislative election would empower him to pursue his ambitious 25-year agenda, though his first challenge will be coming up with a budget amid a fiscal crisis.
Faye sought a clear parliamentary majority in Sunday's vote to implement the reform agenda that helped sweep him to power in a landslide election victory in March.
But analysts say creating a budget catering both to his voters' needs and to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), with which his government is currently in talks, will be challenging.
Former president Macky Sall, who headed an opposition coalition, on Monday congratulated Pastef on its win. Former prime minister Amadou Ba, who ran against Faye in the presidential election, also conceded defeat, as did other opposition leaders.
Senegal's sovereign debt rose in price on Monday, Tradeweb data showed, while most other African nations' bonds lost ground. The yield on its 2033 dollar bond was down about 10 basis points by 1145 GMT at 9.28%.
"If confirmed by the electoral bodies, Pastef's victory could give a free hand in passing budgets and implementing its programmatic reforms," said Wendyam Lankoande, a consultant at Africa Practice.
But, he noted, voters are "looking for quick solutions to unemployment, rising cost of living, and limited reach of public services in remote rural areas in the hinterland".
In September, a government audit revealed that Senegal's debt and budget deficit were much wider than the previous administration had reported. A $1.9 billion IMF programme agreed in June 2023 has been on hold since.
Negotiations with the IMF to restart disbursements could last until mid-2025.
"We see Pastef's majority as a positive development as it clears the path for President Faye and (Prime Minister Ousmane) Sonko to begin work on a budget for 2025 that aligns broadly with IMF requirements," said Leeuwner Esterhuysen, senior economist at Oxford Economics Africa.
"That said, some of these requirements won't necessarily go down well with Senegalese citizens."
He said the Fund was likely to show some leniency, as it appears to have good relations with the new administration.
"We think the government may be able to delay the implementation of harsh measures such as removing VAT exemptions on farming inputs or increasing household electricity prices, while energy subsidies will be phased out gradually to limit the impact on consumers," Esterhuysen said.
Latest Stories
-
GMA condemns attacks on official bungalow of Ashanti Regional Chairman
6 minutes -
Paul Pogba’s brother sentenced to a year in prison for extortion
7 minutes -
Gospel artiste Frank Owusu wraps up 2024 with new single, worship event
9 minutes -
GPL 2024/25: Hearts seek redemption in Berekum Chelsea contest after Kotoko defeat
20 minutes -
Karpowership Ghana spreads Christmas cheer to children at Echoing Hills Village
26 minutes -
‘Together, we rebuild’ – UG NDC Lecturers Caucus calls for national unity in tackling Ghana’s challenges
33 minutes -
Mahama’s victory a triumph for transformative leadership in education – UG NDC Lecturers Caucus
37 minutes -
Full text: Electoral Commission update on outstanding results of 9 constituencies
38 minutes -
Our staff were under threat to make some declarations – Electoral Commission
43 minutes -
Ablekuma North and Okaikwei Central collation will not be accepted – EC
1 hour -
MGL’s Doreen Avio and Hannah Odame earn master’s degrees from UPSA
2 hours -
ORAL is not a tool for witch-hunting – John Mahama
2 hours -
Audit the state of Ghana’s health sector – Kwame Asiedu urges Mahama
2 hours -
East Legon accident: Salifu Amoako’s son jailed 6 months
2 hours -
Brenda Antwi Donkor – the unsung lady behind the most iconic TV productions
2 hours