The 12th Ordinary Session of the Assembly of the African Union
Addis Ababa, ETHIOPIA
Remarks by Mr. Robert B. Zoellick
President of the World Bank Group
Heads of state and government, Excellencies; incoming Chair, Chairperson Dr. Ping; Commissioners; ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for the opportunity to address you today. I also want to thank outgoing Chair, President Kikwete, for his leadership, and Prime Minister Meles and the people of Ethiopia for their warm and gracious hospitality.
The Africa Union Summit is a wonderful opportunity to meet with Africa’s leaders and to discuss issues of common interest. So it is important to me to be here personally, to listen and learn from you about your concerns, and how the World Bank Group can be a better partner.
We want to build with you. We want to strengthen our cooperation with the AU, the African Development Bank, and the other African regional organizations that are here. By working together, the World Bank Group can better represent your interests, and be more effective in developing Africa’s great potential.
When I addressed this Summit one year ago, I spoke of challenges for Africa – including progress toward the Millennium Development Goals, especially overcoming malnutrition; creating more opportunities for economic development; moving toward greater regional integration; addressing the special needs of post-conflict countries or those in fragile situations; and tackling the danger of high energy and food prices.
In the midst of the food price crisis last Spring, I benefited greatly from listening to your concerns and learning about your needs at the Tokyo International Conference on African Development. I carried your messages with me – about support for the hungry and the malnourished, seeds and fertilizers for small farmers, and expanding agricultural production and productivity – to the G-7 Finance Ministers and to the G-8 Heads of State.
Today, confronting Africa’s challenges and ensuring that African voices are heard takes on an even greater importance, as we face a global crisis. Africa will not escape it.
The financial crisis that grew into an economic crisis is now becoming an employment crisis, and in the coming months, for some, it will become a human crisis. Many of you have already seen the danger signs, on top of the poverty, hunger, and malnutrition we saw last year as a result of soaring food and fuel prices.
Far from being insulated from these events, developing countries are feeling the effects – and Africa is no exception.
The first effects will be concentrated in sectors that are integrated with the global economy.
African exports are expected to fall by 2% in 2008, relative to the previous year, with some countries experiencing significant declines – a 30% decline in Angola.
FDI flows have dropped from 2.1% of GDP to 1.5% in developing countries, and drop-offs are particularly severe in African countries.
Remittances are drying up. In Kenya, which already cut its growth rate of remittances in half last year, the projected growth in 2009 is zero.
Foreign aid, already $20 billion short of the Gleneagles commitments, is likely to stagnate in 2009, unless we raise the alarm together.
And tourism revenues are likely to decline. In some countries this will have significant effects: in Seychelles, for example, tourism accounts for approximately 2% of GDP, employs about 30% of the labor force, and provides more than 70% of hard currency earnings.
The overall growth rate for Sub-Saharan Africa slowed by around 1.4% in 2008 to 5.4%, and of course there are risks of further decline in 2009.
This slowdown will affect our efforts to overcome poverty and meet the Millennium Development Goals.
Most at risk are households in the poorest countries, where there is the least access to safety nets and the greatest danger of falling back into poverty. Urban workers and migrants are particularly vulnerable, as are workers in sectors such as construction, mining, and manufacturing.
The World Bank Group wants to partner with you and African regional organizations to address these critical challenges. We are committed – and I am committed personally – to working with you so that Africa can best cushion the downswing.
To respond rapidly and flexibly to the global crisis, the World Bank Group is increasing IBRD lending for developing country borrowers by $100 billion over 3 years. This year, we may almost triple our global lending, to perhaps $35 billion. We are, for example, preparing a $2 billion IBRD loan to South Africa to support its power-sector reform program, and supplementing a development policy loan to Mauritius with a “deferred drawdown option” which the country can call upon as necessary.
Most important for many of you, we are seeking to fast-track the $42 billion of IDA grants and no-interest loans that you worked with me to raise for the three years of IDA-15. The IDA funds can help with safety net programs, infrastructure, education, and health.
For example, the DRC will receive a $100 million accelerated IDA loan to finance infrastructure maintenance and teachers’ salaries. We are also preparing to increase support quickly to Comoros, Ghana, Kenya, and Zambia.
IFC, the Bank Group's private-sector arm, is launching or expanding four initiatives for: helping recapitalize banks in poor countries, infrastructure financing, trade financing, and refocused advisory services. We are expecting IFC’s private sector investments to total around $30 billion over the next three years. And we want to use these investments to mobilize resources from others.
IFC’s new Infrastructure Crisis Facility, for example, is making $300 million available to provide top-up financing for viable privately funded infrastructure projects in Africa that may be entering distress, or which are no longer able to reach financial closure.
But together, we need to do more.
About a week ago, I proposed that each developed country pledge 0.7% of its stimulus package to a Vulnerability Fund for assisting developing countries that cannot afford bailouts and deficits. The World Bank, with the U.N. and regional development banks, could then manage the fund to facilitate fast and flexible aid delivery, backed by safeguards to ensure that the money is well spent.
My idea is not a new bureaucracy, but rather a call for aid and investment that we could channel through existing mechanisms – whether ours, the African Development Bank, WFP, FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, or others. We are ready to go. We need more funding to do more.
In particular, I’m seeking developed country contributions to help meet 3 critical needs.
First, poorer countries need safety net programs aligned with their ability to put them to good use. We need to fund well-designed, efficient programs that provide income support to the poorest, such as food-for-work, conditional cash transfers, and school feeding programs.
Over the past year, the World Bank Group has been working with UN agencies to increase safety net programs for countries most affected by high food and energy prices. In Africa, the Bank has committed over $1 billion for access to seeds and fertilizer, agricultural production, and safety net programs:
- In Burkina Faso, we’ve provided seeds and fertilizers for 300,000 farm families.
- In Ethiopia, we’re making sure that farmers continue to get fertilizer through the existing system by providing $250 million in foreign exchange.
- In Liberia, we’ve helped to feed more than 60,000 school children, and provided rations for pregnant and lactating women.
- In Burundi, we’ve supplied hot meals for 120,000 students.
- And in Sierra Leone, we’ve distributed additional rations for 20,000 school children and patients in district hospitals and community health centers, including lactating mothers and children under the age of five.
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